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To what extent can the United States still cooperate with China and Russia in certain areas in this era of strategic competition? On which issues? What are the obstacles, the potential benefits, and the risks associated with great power cooperation?
RAND researchers explored these questions across three broad areas of potential cooperation—the Indo-Pacific, Europe and the Middle East, and the global commons—using official U.S., Chinese, and Russian policy documents, leadership statements, and other sources. They summarize their findings in a series of four reports.
This research was completed in September 2020, before the February 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine and before the U.S. military withdrawal from Afghanistan in August 2021. It has not been subsequently revised.
1. Vanishing Trade Space: Assessing the Prospects for Great Power Cooperation in an Era of Competition—A Project Overview, by Raphael S. Cohen, Elina Treyger, Nathan Beauchamp-Mustafaga, Asha Clark, Kit Conn, Scott W. Harold, Michelle Grisé, Marta Kepe, Soo Kim, Ashley L. Rhoades, Roby Valiaveedu, and Nathan Vest
In this overview of the project, the authors find that any cooperation between the powers will be rare and needs to be narrowly focused on making competition safe, and U.S. leaders should expect that the era of strategic competition will be here to stay for the foreseeable future.
2. Assessing the Prospects for Great Power Cooperation in the Indo-Pacific, by Scott W. Harold, Nathan Beauchamp-Mustafaga, and Soo Kim
The authors assess the prospects for great power cooperation on seven issues: securing a free and open Indo-Pacific, ensuring the defense of key allies and partners, expanding cooperation with new partners in Southeast Asia, ensuring peace in the Taiwan Strait, achieving the denuclearization of North Korea, countering terrorism, and deepening U.S. geostrategic ties with India.
3. Assessing the Prospects for Great Power Cooperation in Europe and the Middle East, by Elina Treyger, Ashley L. Rhoades, Nathan Vest, Nathan Beauchamp-Mustafaga, Raphael S. Cohen, and Asha Clark
The authors assess the prospects for great power cooperation on seven issues: broader Euro-Atlantic security, Baltic security, Balkan security and strategic orientation, Turkey's regional role and strategic orientation, the future of Ukraine, Middle East stability and peace processes, and countering Iran and its proxies.
4. Assessing the Prospects for Great Power Cooperation in the Global Commons, by Raphael S. Cohen, Marta Kepe, Nathan Beauchamp-Mustafaga, Asha Clark, Kit Conn, Michelle Grisé, Roby Valiaveedu, and Nathan Vest
The authors assess the potential for great power cooperation on eight issues: maintaining freedom of access to space, dismantling transnational criminal organizations/networks, countering violent extremist organizations, promoting global stability, preserving access to the air and maritime commons, preventing nuclear arms races, preventing militarization of the Arctic, and maintaining the openness of cyberspace.
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